CCEP Policy Briefs
Strength of the Latino Vote
CCEP POLICY BRIEF: ISSUE ELEVEN - oNLINE VOTER REGISTRATION: EXPANDING ACCESS TO CALIFORNIA'S ELECTORAL PROCESS
California's online voter registration (OVR) system was a major factor in the recent registration surge leading up to the state's primary election registration deadline. This policy brief examines the use of online voter registration across the state by geography, race, age, income level and party affiliation.
CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Ten - California's Latinos and Asian-American Vote: Dramatic Underrepresentation in 2014 and Expected Impact in 2016
How well did Latino and Asian Americans turn out to vote last November? What can we expect in 2016? The California Civic Engagement Project (CCEP) at the UC Davis Center for Regional Change will release new research examining disparities in voter participation during the 2014 general election. The policy brief discusses new analysis projecting the strength of the Latino and Asian American vote in California and identifying the potential impact of these voters on the 2016 elections.
CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Nine - California's New Political Realities: The Impact of the Youth Vote on Our Electoral Landscape
In the November 2014 general elections, voter turnout was abysmal across the nation, producing the lowest U.S. turnout rates in decades. California's previous record for low turnout was broken by nearly a half-dozen percentage points. Voter turnout is typically lower in mid-term elections, but fall 2014 marked a major falloff from the state's general election turnout in 2012, resulting in even less representation of voters. In this brief, we examine youth electoral participation in California's November 2014 general election and explore the impact of the youth vote on the current and future electoral landscape of the state.
CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Eight - California’s 2014 Youth Voter Turnout: Decline and Future Opportunities
Only 18% of California’s eligible voters (citizens over age 18) turned out to vote in the June 2014 primary election - the lowest eligible turnout of any statewide election in California history. The gap between eligible youth turnout (age 18-24) and the rest of the electorate is typically larger in primary elections. Here, the CCEP examines just how low youth turnout was in the June primary. The study also projects what the future impact of the youth vote might be in California, given both young people's changing party affiliations and their numbers.
CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Seven - Is Demography Political Destiny?: Population Change and California's Future Electorate
Post-analysis of the 2012 November election drew considerable discussion about the current and future make-up of the electorate. Much of this attention focused on how future demographic shifts, particularly the expected growth of the non-white population, might impact the makeup of the electorate and, thus, potentially change both the nation's and California's political landscape. Among the findings in this report: 1) By the 2016 elections, California will have a majority-minority electorate -- for the first time, non-Latino whites will fall below 50 percent of the state's eligible voters. 2) California is projected to gain 8.3 million new eligible voters by 2040 -- 8 million of which will be people of color. 3) Latinos are projected to be 33 percent of California's voting electorate by 2040.
CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Six - Changing Political Tides: Demographics and the Impact of the Rising California Latino Vote
This brief examines the impact of the Latino vote in California over the last decade and its potential future growth. Among the key findings: 1) In 2012, Latinos increased their share of California voters, but they remain underrepresented in voter rolls. 2) Latinos are projected to make up 30 percent of California's voters by 2040. The proportion of Latino voters registered as Democratic has been steadily declining over the past decade. Latinos are increasingly registering as having no party preference. 3 ) Latinos who did not cast ballots are more likely to be from lower-income areas of the state.
CCEP POLICY BRIEF: ISSUE FIVE - CALIFORNIA'S 2012 YOUTH VOTER TURNOUT: DISPARATE GROWTH AND REMAINING CHALLENGES
This brief examines how the 2012 youth vote differs from that of California's voting electorate and what impact these differences have on the political party representation in the state. The research finds that more than two-thirds, or 2 million, of California's eligible young adults failed to vote in the 2012 general election, even after a significant increase of 18-to 24-year-olds registering to vote. Youth registered turnout in 2012 decreased 10 percentage points from 2008.
CCEP POLICY BRIEF: ISSUE FOUR - ONLINE VOTER REGISTRATION: IMPACT ON CALIFORNIA'S 2012 ELECTION TURNOUT BY AGE AND PARTY AFFILIATION
This brief identifies the impact of California's new online voter registration system on the state's electorate. Some analysts questioned whether online registrants would actually turn out to vote. The brief finds that voters who registered online turned out to vote at higher levels than those who registered in traditional ways. Online registrants who voted also looked very different than the rest of the electorate, in terms of age and political party affiliation. Youth made up 30 percent of those who registered online and 26% of all online registrants who voted, adding to overall youth registered turnout.
CCEP Policy Brief: Issue Three - California's 2012 Electorate: The Impact of Youth and Online Voter Registration
Boosted by online registration, the youth electorate in California grew significantly for the November 2012 election, dramatically outpacing growth in the state's general registration and driving the decline in major party registration. Youth comprised 30% of all online registrants and variation in party affiliation was greater online than via offline registration methods. The prevalence of youth among online registrants may lead to an increase in young people’s percentage of the electorate, strengthening their political influence.
California youth voter registration numbers have grown substantially over the course of the last decade. These numbers are up 25% from the 2002-2010 November elections, outpacing growth in the general electorate. Despite these gains, youth remain underrepresented in California's electorate. The disparity is greatest in regions that have some of the poorest outcomes for youth.
CCEP Policy Brief: Issue One - California Latino and Asian-American Registration Rates: A Decade of Growth and Disparity
This brief outlines dramatic increases in Latino and Asian-American voter registration - nearly 40% for both groups. Despite these gains, Latino and Asian-American registration rates do not reflect their respective proportions of the state's overall population. The voter registration gap means that these groups have proportionately less say in the electoral process compared to the general population.